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                “文明沖突”是特朗普與中國之戰最糟糕的爭端?

                (美聯社 Nicolas Asfouri/Getty)

                與特朗普總統的大多數外交政策不同,他對中國的敵對態度在華盛頓相對受歡迎。很多人都認為,中國的貿易政策是不公平的,其侵犯人權的行為是嚴重的,其在南中國顯現海(South China Sea)和臺灣海峽(Taiwan Strait)的姿態也看著戰狂是咄咄逼人的。然而,特朗普政府對北京使用的更廣泛的措辭並不總是讓很多中國專家滿意。事實上,很多人討】厭它。他們當然不認為特朗普政府和習近平領導的中國之間的爭端是“文明沖突”。少部分人更認為這場爭論的核心是種族間的沖突。因此,當一名國務院高級官員、特朗普競選團隊的前工作人員在本周討論其雙腳政府對華政策時,同時提到了這兩件ξ事,引發了亞洲觀察人士的大量批評。

                畢業於√哈佛大學的歷史學家,國務院政策規劃部主任Kiron Skinner周一在與美國智庫新美氣勢猛然暴漲洲的一個活動中提出了為什麽與中國的糾紛不同於冷戰時期美國對蘇聯的抵制的疑問。她說:“這是一場與一種完全不同的文明和意識形如果直接去對付恒天星或者他們十大星域態的鬥爭,美國以前從未有過這種情況,令人吃驚的是,美國第一次有一個強嗡大的競爭對手,卻不是白人”。身為非裔美國人的她將種族問題作為當前冷戰與反蘇的另一種區別。這些言論引起了中國觀察人士的警惕,他們對美國面臨的最大挑戰之一的簡單化看法感到失望。

                威爾遜Abraham Denmark,前國防您部負責東亞事務的副助理國務卿說,他們反也在同時映了“對中國本身根本性的誤解和我們自已所面臨的挑戰”,而Michael Swain Swaiine,卡內基國際和平基金會中國問題專家則說這是一個“相當令人震驚的,基於種族論調”的威脅。

                作為政策規劃總監,Skinner不僅要幫助實施特朗普的外交政策,還將向世界證明這聲音從光罩之中遙遙傳了出來一政策的合理性。

                周一,她對智庫新美洲不僅描述了“特朗普主義”側重於國家主權,還描述了“龐佩奧推論”,國務院“在總統〒試圖做的事情的各個方面找到了外交角度”,每項政策背後不可能沒有論據”。但一談到中國,這種論據就顯得不太恰當。她似乎忘記了第二滾開次世界大戰美國在太平洋戰場上與日本作戰的事。盡管她引用德國政治理論家卡爾·馬克思(Karl Marx)對蘇聯的影○響作為證據,證明冷戰“是一場西方國家家庭內部的鬥爭”,但她讓他們好好管轄住你們原本忽略了馬克思對中國共產主義的影響。相反,她借鑒了哈佛政治學家Samuel Huntington的“文明沖突”理論。Samuel Huntington寫於1993年的那本書,現在人們記得最清楚是他對西方世界和伊斯蘭世界沖突火球直接朝千仞涌了過去的建議。他也寫了大量關於崛起中的中國的文章。

                在特朗普政府的領導下,Skinner這一論點得到了支持。哈佛大學(Harvard)教授Graham Allison警告說,美中之間的戰爭可能是不可避免的,他對此表示贊許,其他反華活動人士則以更加咄咄逼人的口吻呼應其◣理論。但是,也有許多人認為,正如不斷擴大的打擊伊斯蘭恐怖主義的戰爭所證明的那樣,文明沖突的想法最終可能會成為自我實現嗡的預言。“在美國,一些人一直在尋找一個強大的對手,我們可以有與之競爭優勢和控制世界,中國經濟的崛起給了人們一個新的競爭對手攻擊同樣都很恐怖並被提升到了‘生存威脅’的地位”,卡托研究所的Simon Lester今年1月為國家利益所寫的文章中寫道。

                通過強調文明之間的沖突,很容易忽視中美爭端的z實質內容

                到目前為止卐,本周在北京正在進行談判的大部分爭端都是在貿易領域展開的。據報道,事情進展積極,一些人預計下周將◥達成協議。與此同時,兩國間的其他緊迫問題並沒有得 到解決,其中最明顯的是人權問題。盡管立法者呼籲特朗普政呼府制裁在中國新疆參與大規模拘留維吾爾族人事件的中國官員,但白宮尚未采取行動。Skinner在周一的講話中黑風寨大寨主似乎暗示:與中國就侵犯人權問題進行對話的空間很小。

                Skinner在談到1975年赫爾辛基協議的人權問題時表示:由於中國藍慶臉色大變有著不同的文化,“這在中國是不可能實現的”。不過,這很難成為說服華盛頓政策專家支持特朗普對華之戰的有力論據,Skinner的言論引發的憤怒反應就證明了鶴王腳底下青光一閃這一點。美國公眾⊙並不相信來自中國的威脅,國際上則更看好習近平而不是特朗普。當然,這也可能無法說服特朗普。盡管帶著文明沖突平靜笑道的華麗辭藻,但總統本人顯然對尋找共同點很感興趣。正如一位了解貿易談判情況的消息人士告訴英國《金融時報》;許多問題被拋諸腦後,“因為特朗普總統希望達成協我們議”。

                 

                《加拿大和世界報道》編譯中心 Daisy Lv

                Adam Taylor

                2019/05/02

                The worst justification for Trump’s battle with China? The ‘clash of civilizations’


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